At last after a long time, Malaysian crude palm oil price drop as much as 4.1% on Tuesday 12 August to hit a new 10-month low as wavering crude oil prices and expectations of higher worldwide stocks pressured vegetable oil costs. Oil prices have slid just about 13% this year and drop more than 40% from their March peak. On the other hand, traders have expected that there is a possibility to fall more even further and it may reach the 2,500-ringgit levels soon.
The benchmark October agreement fell on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange as much as 110-ringgit to 2,561-ringgit or$770.9 each ton and it breaks well history a key resistance level of 2,600-ringgit for the first time of the year. That was the lowest price level since October 9, 2007 for the palm oil.
A trader with a foreign brokerage informed, “Crude oil sharp fall was the trigger point and it was compounded by news of defaults from India and China,” he also added “Now, even Pakistan appears to be delaying some part of its Ramadan purchases.” But another trader opinion was,” Exports may be recovering but we are not going to see the fantastic increases. There is too much palm oil around”.
At the present time Malaysia’s crude palm oil stocks dropped 2.8% to 1,977,060 tons in the month of July. It was more than the 2.2% fall expected in a Reuters’ poll, although still remained close to record levels.
Vegetable oil dealers and traders were waiting for an update on the US crops from the U.S. Agriculture Department due later on Tuesday. It was one of the most significant of this year since it contains the first US soy and corn yield estimates based on authentic field surveys.
The average analysts’ estimates pegged the US soy crop at about 3.001 billion bushels, mostly unchanged from USDA’s July calculate of 3.0 billion. On the other hand US soy oil for September delivery cut down nearly 1% in Asian regions since traders awaited the USDA’s estimated report. In the month of January soy oil contract on Dalian Exchange, China fell 0.8%. The same thing is happened in Indonesia, there crude palm oil prices dropped up to 5.5% on this Tuesday, tracking vacillating Malaysian market. However trading was thin with players ran away on the sidelines and waiting prices to become stable.
Last Monday the state marketing centre in Jakarta sold crude palms oils at 6,869 Rupiah or $0.749 per kg, a drop of 1.2% from 6,953 rupiah per kg and palm oil refiners offered RBD palm oil for cooking oil, at 7,500 rupiah per kg, which down from 7,750 rupiah per kg.The palm oil producers and manufacturers in North Sumatra’s Medan home to Belawan port that is the main port for palm oil exports, sold crude oil at 6,740-6,830 rupiah per kg on Tuesday, a drop of up to 5.5% from 7,137 rupiah per kg on Friday. Though a dealer of local plantation firm in Medan said “It doesn’t matter now whether it’s cheap or expensive, players just want stable prices to take position,”.
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August 14th, 2008
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